# Leonid E. Varshavsky

Principal Researcher, Doctor of Sciences in Economics**E-mail:**hodvar@mail.ru

Leonid Varshavsky graduated from Moscow Physical Engineering Institute with diploma in applied mathematics. He has a vast experience in economics of energy industries, economics of high technologies and of technological change.

Main fields of research: mathematical modeling structural change on markets and in productions of high-tech and capital intensive products (aircraft industry, nuclear power, information technologies, electronics, oil&gas industry etca); mathematical modeling of investment and innovation strategies of firms; mathematical modeling of macroeconomic and global economic processes; economics of science (including mathematical modeling of labor market in science and technology sector).

Research interests: economics of energy industries, economics of high technologies and of technological change; modeling of economic systems, methods of control theory and of differential and dynamic games.

Leonid Varshavsky leaded dozens of projects, sponsored by federal ministries and agencies, and a number of grants of Russian Humanitarian Research Foundation and Russian Foundation of Fundamental Sciences. He also teaches at the State Academic University of Humanitarian Sciences.

Dr. Varshavsky is the author of more than 150 research works including more than 100 publications. Author and coauthor of 6 monographs.

### Selected Publications

Varshavsky L.E. Analysis and modeling trends of key indicators of high-performance supercomputers// Proceedings of the Institute for Systems Analysis of the Russian Academy of Sciences (ISA RAS). 2017. Ή3, v. 67. pp. 6474. (Rus.)

Varshavsky L.E. Modeling dynamics of key market indicators of components of hpc systems// Proceedings of the Institute for Systems Analysis of the Russian Academy of Sciences (ISA RAS). 2017. Ή1, v. 67. pp. 1227. (Rus.)

Varshavsky L.E. An Amalysis of Risk Factors of Information and Communications Technologies //Concepcii, Ή1 (36), 2017, pp. 3747. (Rus.)

Varshavsky L.E.Uncertainty Factor in Modeling Dynamics of Economics Systems//Analysis and Modeling of Economic and Social Processes. / Mathematics. Computing. Education: Proceedings of the 22nd International Conference (Issue 24). Ή5. 2017, pp.8496. (Rus.)

Varshavsky L.E. Analysis of Investment Processes in the Leading Microelectronic Companies // Concepcii,. 2016. Ή1 (35), pp. 17-28.

Varshavsky L.E. Practical Aspects of Using Operator Methods for Studying Evolution of Oligopolistic Markets // Theory and Practice of Institutional Reforms in Russia / Collection of scientific works ed. by B.H. Yerznkyan. Issue 36. Moscow: CEMI Russian Academy of Sciences, 2016. pp. 1628 (Rus.)

Varshavsky L.E. Economic Problems of Development of Data Centers // Theory and Practice of Institutional Reforms in Russia / Collection of scientific works ed. by B.H. Yerznkyan. Issue 37. Moscow: CEMI Russian Academy of Sciences, 2016. pp. 5062 (Rus.)

Varshavskii L. ECONOMIC AND MATHEMATICAL METHODS FOR ANALYZING TRENDS IN MARKET PROCESSES AND THE FORMATION OF COMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT IN MICROELECTRONICS// National Interests: Priorities and Security. 3 (336). 2016, pp .2644.

Varshavsky L.E. Studying Scenarios of Macroeconomic Indicators 0f behavior of the USA over the Medium-Term Period //Analysis and Modeling of Economic and Social Processes. / Mathematics. Computing. Education: Proceedings of the 22nd International Conference (Issue 23). Ή4. 2016, pp.8496. (Rus.)

Varshavsky L.E. Socio-Economic Risk Factors of Information and Communication Technologies // Theory and Practice of Institutional Reforms in Russia / Collection of scientific works ed. by B.H. Yerznkyan. Issue 34. Moscow, CEMI Russian Academy of Sciences, 2015. P. 2536 (Rus.).

Varshavsky L.E. Analysis and Modeling Dynamics of Key Indicators of High-Performance Supercomputers//Concepcii, Ή2 (34), 2015, pp. 2235 (Rus.).

Varshavsky L.E. Economic Mathematical Modeling Investment Processes and Competition in Microelectronics under Condition of Import Substitution // Theory and Practice of Institutional Reforms in Russia / Collection of scientific works ed. by B.H. Yerznkyan. Issue 33. Moscow, CEMI Russian Academy of Sciences, 2015. P. 1632 (Rus.).

Varshavsky L.E. Techno-Economic Analysis of Energy Efficiency Supercomputers // Theory and Practice of Institutional Reforms in Russia / Collection of scientific works ed. by B.H. Yerznkyan. Issue 32. Moscow, CEMI Russian Academy of Sciences, 2015. P. 6075 (Rus.).

Varshavsky L.E. Methods of Computing Optimal Nash Strategies in Dynamical Games with Help of Electronic Tables//Analysis and Modeling of Economic and Social Processes/ Mathematics. Computing. Education: Proceedings of the 22nd International Conference (Issue 22). Ή3. 2015, pp.8496.

Varshavsky L.E. The problem of basic research needs//Concepts, Ή 1 (33), 2015, pp. 9-15.

Varshavsky L.E. Studying approaches to harmonizing links between science and economy// Proceedings of the Institute for Systems Analysis of the Russian Academy of Sciences (ISA RAS). 2015. Ή2, v. 65. pp. 4452.

Experience of Econometric Modeling Global Market
Processes// Analysis and Modeling of Economic and Social
Processes/Mathematics, Computing, Education: Proceedings of
the 21st International Conference (Issue 21). No 2.
MoscowIzhevsk: Regular and Chaotic Dynamics, 2014,
pp.156169.

Studying Methods of Economic Stimulation of Transition to
Home Made Technique (the Case of Narrow Body Civil Aircraft
Industry)//National Interests: Priorities and Security.
2014, 24 (261), pp. 217.

A Macroeconomic Analysis of the USA Medium Term
Development//National Interests: Priorities and Security.
2014, 47 (284), pp. 4963.

Control
theory methods for creating market structures//Computer
Research and Modeling, 2014, vol.6, no. 5, pp. 839-859 (in
Russian)

Studying dynamics of indicators of nuclear power stations exploitation (the case of US nuclear power stations) //Applied Econometrics (in Russian), 2013, No 30(2), pp. 115-137 (in Russian)

Modeling and Analysis of Scenarios of Behavior of US Macroeconomic Indicators in Postrecession Period//Concepts, 2013, No 30(1), pp.32-42 (in Russian)

Problems of Energy Efficiency Increase of Information Technologies Equipment Infrastructure// Proceedings of ISA RAS. 2013, v.63, No 3, pp. 3-19.

Approximate Methods of Studying Dynamics of Market Structure//Computer Research and Modeling, 2012, vol. 4, no. 1, pp. 219229 (in Russian)

Financial System and Commodities Market: Bacchanalia of Liberalization and Efforts of Regulation//Economics and Mathematical Methods, 2011, No 1, pp. 55-65 (in Russian)

Methodological Foundations of Modeling Evolution of Markets of Products with Long Lifecycle: A study of the market of civil aircraft //Applied Econometrics (in Russian), 2010, No 20(4), pp. 53-74 (in Russian)

Crisis of Financial system and Evolution of Commodities Market//Applied Econometrics (in Russian), 2010, No 17(1), pp. 30-44 (in Russian)

Modeling Dynamics of Oil Prices under Different Regimes of Oil Market Development // Applied Econometrics (in Russian), 2009, No 1(13), pp. 70-88. (in Russian)

A Study of the Influence of the Market Structure on the Dynamics of Oligopolistic Market // Economics and Mathematical Methods, 2007, Ή 4, pp. 80-88. (in Russian)

Problems of Forming of Investment Strategies of Dominant Firms // Concepts, 2006, Ή 1(17), pp. 32-43. (in Russian)

A Study of Dynamics of Market Indicators of Science-Intensive Products (The Case of Markets of PC Components) // Economics and Mathematical Methods, 2004, vol. 40, No 1, pp. 101-116. (in Russian)

A Study of Investment Strategies of Firms on the Markets of Capital and R&D Intensive Products. - M.:, CEMI RAS, 2003. . - 354 pp. (in Russian)

Forecasting dynamics of the human component of the Russian scientific potential // Economics and Mathematical Methods, 1999, vol. 35, Ή 1, pp. 43-55. (in Russian)

Models and methods for calculating the dynamics of
deployment of production capacities** ** // Economics
and Mathematical Methods, 1987, vol. 23, Ή 3, pp. 456-467.
(in Russian)

Models and methods of forecasting parameters of fuel-energy transportation (gas pipeline transportation case) // Economics and Mathematical Methods, 1986, vol. 22, Ή 6, pp. 1052-1063. (in Russian)

Methods of improving the balance of capacities in interrelated industries // Izvestiya AN USSR, Seriya Economicheskaya, 1986, Ή 1, ρ. 59-72. (in Russian)